MIT Sloan Management Review

Management of Information Systems, Marketing

 

Predicting Customer Choices

By Rohit Verma and Gerhard Plaschka

October 1, 2005

RESEARCH BRIEF: Recent research has greatly improved management's ability to anticipate customer wants.

Vanishing mass markets, the proliferation of products and services and new technologies are requiring many companies to redefine their beloved core business doctrine: “Give customers what they want.” At the same time, in the best-selling bookThe Paradox of Choice, Schwartz (2004) suggests that every consumer decision, from buying a bottle of shampoo or ordering a cup of coffee to choosing a healthcare provider or setting up a retirement plan, is becoming increasingly complex thanks to the abundance of choices available. Much the same is true for customers in many business-to-business markets.

This dramatic explosion in options has ironically become a challenge for customers and businesses alike; Schwartz goes so far as to argue that fewer alternatives are better than many for the well-being of society. However, the underlying problem in predicting customer choices resides largely in the fact that many people make purchasing decisions on the basis of (potentially) many different criteria simultaneously (McFadden 1986), including brand, quality, performance, price, service, features, channel and so on.

Given resource constraints, it is virtually impossible for any firm to excel in all product aspects at once — that is, to provide the highest quality, fastest delivery and greatest variety at the lowest price. Firms must make trade-offs on the basis of what they do best, what their competitors are offering, and the criteria they think matter most to... To read the complete article, login or sign-up using the form below.

 
 

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