We asked our panel of strategy experts to tell us how strongly they agree with this statement:

In the absence of a carbon tax, industry self-regulation can help mitigate the worst fallout from climate change.

RAW RESPONSES
WEIGHTED BY CONFIDENCE

Raw Responses

Responses weighted by panelists’ level of confidence

Panelist Vote Confidence Comments Profile & Vote History
McAfee, R. Preston

R. Preston McAfee

Economist
Strongly Disagree 9 “There are limited successes of industry self-regulation but none at the scale of climate change.” Profile / Vote History
Gans, Joshua

Joshua Gans

University of Toronto
Strongly Disagree 7 “Climate change is both locked-in and on the higher end of projections by scientists. Industry self-regulation can help some things but is like a drop in the ocean in terms of affecting real change.” Profile / Vote History
Holden, Richard

Richard Holden

University of New South Wales
Strongly Disagree 10 “We’ve seen what happens without a carbon tax — a complete failure to address climate change. Industry ‘self-regulation’ also does nothing on the consumer side. A carbon dividend plan, like that of the Climate Leadership Council, is the most pragmatic way forward in addressing climate change and compensating individuals, while maintaining international competitiveness.” Profile / Vote History
McGahan, Anita

Anita McGahan

University of Toronto
Strongly Disagree 8 “Despite the very best intentions and the substantial progress that has been made, we are falling behind on critical climate targets. Industry self-regulation will continue to be critical, but we know that it is not mitigating the worst of climate change.” Profile / Vote History
Sorenson, Olav

Olav Sorenson

Yale University
Strongly Disagree 7 Profile / Vote History
Nalebuff, Barry

Barry Nalebuff

Yale University
Strongly Disagree 10 “Given the public-good nature of the problem, it is folly to think that industry self-regulation will solve the problem any more than self-regulation helped mitigate fallout from smoking. Indeed, the oil-extraction industry (much like the tobacco industry) has been engaged in the strategy of fear, uncertainty, and doubt to deny that a problem even exists.” Profile / Vote History
Tadelis, Steve

Steve Tadelis

University of California, Berkeley
Strongly Disagree 8 “Without enforcement, manufacturers’ incentives to curb pollution do not align with those of society. Carbon emissions is a standard ‘commons’ problem where everyone would be happier with less pollution, but each manufacturer would prefer to pollute in a way that maximizes its own profits, while wishing that others keep cutting back. Consumer boycotts may help, but these also suffer from the commons problem.” Profile / Vote History
Agarwal, Rajshree

Rajshree Agarwal

University of Maryland
Neither Agree nor Disagree 5 Profile / Vote History
Arora, Ashish

Ashish Arora

Duke University
Strongly Disagree 10 “History provides very little confidence that in the absence of regulations, lawsuits, or a tax, firms will be able to agree on mitigating climate change.” Profile / Vote History
Chatterji, Aaron

Aaron Chatterji

Duke University
Disagree 7 Profile / Vote History
Roberts, John

John Roberts

Stanford University
Disagree 9 “The issue is not ‘can,’ which is barely plausible, but ‘will,’ which seems beyond belief.” Profile / Vote History
Oxley, Joanne E.

Joanne E. Oxley

University of Toronto
Disagree 8 “Responding to climate change requires a coordinated effort and significant investment. In a competitive environment, it is unrealistic to think that firms can go beyond their own narrow business interests and make the necessary investments to effect change.” Profile / Vote History
Henderson, Rebecca

Rebecca Henderson

Harvard University
Strongly Agree 7 “The private sector as a whole has strong incentives to avoid the worst impact of climate change, and individual firms are increasingly recognizing this and searching out mechanisms that can address the free-rider problem often inherent in acting against climate change. Industry self-regulation is definitely one way in which this is playing out.” Profile / Vote History
Van Reenen, John

John Van Reenen

MIT
Strongly Disagree 9 “Industry does not have the incentives to deal with climate change externalities. We urgently need a carbon tax. But complementing this with R&D subsidies and government regulation also helps.” Profile / Vote History
Waldfogel, Joel

Joel Waldfogel

University of Minnesota
Disagree 8 “Carbon emissions are a global issue, so the solution to this problem requires participation of companies around the world. Even if reputable firms in rich countries were to voluntarily curb emissions, firms in still-emerging economies would likely not voluntarily increase their costs, nor would their consumers be willing to pay extra for clean production.” Profile / Vote History
Brynjolfsson, Erik

Erik Brynjolfsson

MIT
Disagree 7 “Climate change is a textbook example of a negative externality. Self-regulation is rarely effective in such situations if industry players are self-interested. That’s one of the most compelling reasons for government involvement, and as Bill Nordhaus and others have shown, carbon taxes are particularly compelling as an approach.” Profile / Vote History
Levinthal, Daniel

Daniel Levinthal

University of Pennsylvania
Disagree 8 “The volunteer approach would require a cooperative equilibrium across many players from a variety of industries — it is hard to see how such an equilibrium could emerge and be sustainable.” Profile / Vote History
Stern, Scott

Scott Stern

MIT
Disagree 9 “In the absence of an effective price for carbon, industry self-regulation is likely to have at best a very small impact on global climate emissions (even though emissions may go down dramatically in some regions [Europe] or industries [IT]). The problem is that, even if a given group reduces emissions, the overall impact of emissions depends on global output.” Profile / Vote History
Simcoe, Timothy

Timothy Simcoe

Boston University
Strongly Disagree 8 “Industry may be able to help society ‘innovate’ its way out of the worst climate change scenarios, but there is little evidence that self-regulation could provide an effective substitute for environmental policies that come with a credible threat of enforcement. Some industry-led programs may work well when there is ‘demand for green’ — but they will not be enough.” Profile / Vote History
Cassiman, Bruno

Bruno Cassiman

University of Navarra
Disagree 9 “How many examples of optimal self-regulation of an externality do we know?” Profile / Vote History
Moser, Petra

Petra Moser

New York University
Strongly Disagree 10 “Carbon dioxide emissions create monumental social costs, which are not covered by industries that burn fossil fuels. Firms have no incentive to volunteer paying for these costs. In fact, that would be a really dumb business decision. This is a place where ‘self-regulation’ fails, and we need evidence-based government policies.” Profile / Vote History
Greenstein, Shane

Shane Greenstein

Harvard University
Strongly Disagree 10 “In the absence of regulation or international agreement, there will be no way to stop ‘bad actors’ from taking shortcuts. Even legitimate actors will face strong pressure to gain short-term cost reduction from not preventing polluting. There are an enormous number of historical and contemporary examples. It should be beyond dispute.” Profile / Vote History
Busse, Meghan

Meghan Busse

Northwestern University
Strongly Disagree 8 “Past examples of industries who collectively undertook actions that were costly to themselves purely for the benefit of society are pretty scarce. Firms will do things that are profit opportunities or that are required of them. The sheer magnitude of adaptation that is necessary to prevent climate change will only happen if regulations force firms and consumers to do what they wouldn’t otherwise do.” Profile / Vote History
Eisenhardt, Kathleen

Kathleen Eisenhardt

Stanford University
Disagree 8 “Climate change is a commons problem that needs some sort of government intervention — tax, regulation, etc.” Profile / Vote History
Rosenkopf, Lori

Lori Rosenkopf

University of Pennsylvania
Disagree 8 “Industry self-regulation can be very effective for new technologies when the industry players have more expertise than regulators (for example, in determining how new lower-cost flight simulation devices can be used to train pilots in novel, better ways). It’s far less effective to rely on self-regulation to curb long-standing practices.” Profile / Vote History
Florida, Richard

Richard Florida

University of Toronto
Agree 4 “My hunch is industry self-regulation is one part. But city governments, especially in the U.S., have shown that they can be a key part of addressing climate goals, particularly when the national government fails.” Profile / Vote History